Originally posted by crow
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The red arrow would be the direction of north if the chest had been butted up against the infamous log at Rudy's location. (I've added some overly generous orange error bars to indicate the uncertainty of the exact direction the log is pointed combined with any small angular misalignment that might have existed between the log and the back of the chest.)
The green vector shows the corresponding direction of the sun at Rudy's location on the morning of June 5th, 2020 at 7:45 am MDT -- again under the assumption that the chest was butted up against that log. As with the uncertainty in the direction of true north, I've indicated the same uncertainty in the direction of azimuth 87.
You might ask, "Why 7:45am? That seems awfully specific, particularly when we don't know the time of day the picture was taken." The answer is that from the shadows (particularly the one on the inside back right corner of the chest), I approximated that the sun was 30 degrees above the horizon, and determined the time in the morning that the sun reached that elevation. Could have been a little earlier, but not by much since otherwise the shadows would be longer and/or the sun would be blocked by the mountains to the east-northeast. It could have been later, but that just makes the photographic mismatch even worse as it would rotate the green vector further clockwise.
Finally, the yellow vector points to where I estimate the actual sun was located at the time of the shot based on the shadows on the left side of the coins and the shadow cast by the right side of the treasure chest. That location is a good 60 degrees away from where the sun should have been if the chest was at Rudy's log. (It's also an impossible direction for the sun even at sunrise on the summer solstice at the latitude of 9MH.
The only way Rudy's log location could be made to work is if the chest had been removed from its hole, rotated 90 degrees counterclockwise, and then placed back in the hole and photographed. But in that case, you wouldn't be able to open the lid: the log above would prevent that. In fact, that's the reason the chest lid wasn't opened all the way up for the picture: the top of the chest is hitting the log, preventing it from being opened any further.
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