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Biggest reach for Confirmation Bias, Part 2

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  • Biggest reach for Confirmation Bias, Part 2

    Just the other day I posted about my Hunter experience as a reach for confirmation bias as everyday, unrelated events somehow lead us to believe we are on the right trail in the Chase.

    Here is that story:
    So, I think we've all had moments when we've tied something outside the Chase to our Solve or position as Lead Searcher or Hunter. No matter how ridiculous or happenstance the moment, we define it as proof that we are on the right trail.

    Today, I may have had my biggest reach.

    With the kids out of school for the summer, I took today off to take my wife and kids to play at Top Golf where today is Half-Price Tuesday. https://topgolf.com/us/

    It was the first time I swung a golf club comfortably since my car accident 8 years ago...but I digress.

    In a quiet moment as we were getting settled in before the start of our first round, I was contemplating my next BOTG, coming up in about 10 days. My train of thought was broken when the waitress approached me, looked me in the eye, smiled and said, "Hunter."

    My expression showed I was clearly taken aback by her one word greeting, so she stated, "My name is Hunter, I'll be serving you today."

    Could there be any more clear a sign?

    Peace,

    Orion the Hunter




    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

    I ended that story, with a question: "Could there be any more clear a sign?"

    Tonight, that more clear sign may have appeared. Here is my latest biggest reach for Confirmation Bias.
    Let me preface this story by telling you that it wasn't supposed to happen. For the past 9 months our utility company has been in the area removing the old infrastructure and replacing it with the newest hardware on the grid. They also installed all new underground lines. As they wrapped up the project a couple of weeks ago, the Project Manager told me we shouldn't have any more power outages for a long time. Mother Nature obviously heard these words and said, "Hold my Dr. Pepper."


    Tonight, at 6:45, we lost power when a massive bolt of lighting lit up the sky, followed instantaneously by a roar of thunder. At that moment, power was lost. I looked quickly down at my phone and started dialing a number I knew all too well: 1 800 POWER ON. The automated voice confirmed the outage and provided the estimated time for return of power to be 11:15 PM. That meant I had about four and a half hours before I'd see light again.

    I put on my sandals and walked outside, in the rain, to check on the house and yard to see if there was any damage. Seeing none, I walked back inside. My wife had to take care of a neighbor's dog so she was walking out the door and the kids were chatting with friends. I told my wife I would probably go to Home Depot to look for some tools I might need to finish the screened porch we're building.

    Mind you, I could have gone to Lowe's, as they are across the street from each other just 2.06 miles from my home and I did just buy a new refrigerator last week at Lowe's after our basement refrigerator died, completing it's own story after 15 years. Fortunately, Independence Day sales last week enabled me to purchase a $1,600 refrigerator/freezer with an ice and water dispenser for less than $1,000. The refrigerator was delivered yesterday. It was only about 1/4" wider than the old one - just large enough where it would not fit through the door, even with the hinges and door removed from the opening. As the two delivery men loaded up the old refrigerator, I assessed the situation and, fearing he may have underestimate that quarter, realized I would have to remove the casings and door frame to get the refrigerator to go in there. Alone, I cut nails and removed pieces of wood to get the opening I needed. Within a short time (I had the right tools so it was easy), the refrigerator was moved into the storage room, the gentleman left and I put in the door frame and rehung the door. A couple of hours later, the new refrigerator, at an appropriate temperature, was loaded with an assortment of beverages. Later, as I was wrapping up my day, I visited that spot where my new refrigerator stood and looked at the door I had to remove and replace and the tools I used to get the job done. Thirsty, I reached into the refrigerator and grabbed an Orange flavored soda water. I opened the can, took a long gulp and, looking at the basement door, said to myself, "the effort was worth the cold."


    But I digress...

    I started to leave for Home Depot, a Big Box Store recognizable by it's familiar orange and Brown, but I turned around. The time wasn't right;
    there was something to finish before I could go to HD.Back in my home office, without power, I had to resort to my mobile hotspot and log on to my cellular network to complete a task for work.

    It took about 90 minutes to get to the point where I could now go to HD. I got in my car (at 2.06 miles, it was just too far to walk) and travelled down a road, "X" "X" Creek, to get to my destination. When I arrived, I parked on the southern side of the building, disembarked my vehicle and walked into the store. I stood by the grills, gazing at my phone, lost in thought as I contemplated my purpose and, at that moment, I heard a voice...that of an old friend, Rich. Rich is an electrician. He was with his 16 year-old son, Richie. Yes, I came across Riches new and old.

    But there is more.

    We chatted briefly before we parted ways. And then it occurred to me - my purpose for being at HOD at that moment. A generator. I would look for a generator for my home so I would not have to rely on others -the utility company- to provide what my family needed. I used Google to research online for a bit, then I walked to an area of the store where I thought I would find what I was looking for. It wasn't there. I looked around a little more, certain it was there, but no such luck. I started to walk in one direction but suddenly turned and saw, about 20 feet away, a man who looked like he could help me. I could see from what he was doing that he belonged there so I walked over to him.

    As I approached, I said, "Hi. I wonder if you could help me."

    Pointing down to the floor, motioning with his hand for me to stop, he responded, first with a one word warning, then a greeting: "Water. Hi."

    I thanked him as I looked at the trickle of water and asked if he could point me to the generators. Pointing overhead to the rack above us, he said, "I just loaded a few up there. Heavy loads."

    At that point, I was struck by all that I just described and, remembering my story of Hunter the other day, I said to myself, could this be a more clear sign?

    Then, at that moment, I looked at the helpful man's apron and saw, printed in the black ink of a Sharpie, his name. His name was Forrest.

    As someone once said, "You can't make this stuff up."

    Peace,

    Orion the Hunter
    Last edited by ORION; 07-12-2019, 01:15 AM.

  • #2
    Originally posted by ORION View Post
    Just the other day I posted about my Hunter experience as a reach for confirmation bias as everyday, unrelated events somehow lead us to believe we are on the right trail in the Chase.

    Here is that story:
    So, I think we've all had moments when we've tied something outside the Chase to our Solve or position as Lead Searcher or Hunter. No matter how ridiculous or happenstance the moment, we define it as proof that we are on the right trail.

    Today, I may have had my biggest reach.

    With the kids out of school for the summer, I took today off to take my wife and kids to play at Top Golf where today is Half-Price Tuesday. https://topgolf.com/us/

    It was the first time I swung a golf club comfortably since my car accident 8 years ago...but I digress.

    In a quiet moment as we were getting settled in before the start of our first round, I was contemplating my next BOTG, coming up in about 10 days. My train of thought was broken when the waitress approached me, looked me in the eye, smiled and said, "Hunter."

    My expression showed I was clearly taken aback by her one word greeting, so she stated, "My name is Hunter, I'll be serving you today."

    Could there be any more clear a sign?

    Peace,

    Orion the Hunter




    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

    I ended that story, with a question: "Could there be any more clear a sign?"

    Tonight, that more clear sign may have appeared. Here is my latest biggest reach for Confirmation Bias.
    Let me preface this story by telling you that it wasn't supposed to happen. For the past 9 months our utility company has been in the area removing the old infrastructure and replacing it with the newest hardware on the grid. They also installed all new underground lines. As they wrapped up the project a couple of weeks ago, the Project Manager told me we shouldn't have any more power outages for a long time. Mother Nature obviously heard these words and said, "Hold my Dr. Pepper."


    Tonight, at 6:45, we lost power when a massive bolt of lighting lit up the sky, followed instantaneously by a roar of thunder. At that moment, power was lost. I looked quickly down at my phone and started dialing a number I knew all too well: 1 800 POWER ON. The automated voice confirmed the outage and provided the estimated time for return of power to be 11:15 PM. That meant I had about four and a half hours before I'd see light again.

    I put on my sandals and walked outside, in the rain, to check on the house and yard to see if there was any damage. Seeing none, I walked back inside. My wife had to take care of a neighbor's dog so she was walking out the door and the kids were chatting with friends. I told my wife I would probably go to Home Depot to look for some tools I might need to finish the screened porch we're building.

    Mind you, I could have gone to Lowe's, as they are across the street from each other just 2.06 miles from my home and I did just buy a new refrigerator last week at Lowe's after our basement refrigerator died, completing it's own story after 15 years. Fortunately, Independence Day sales last week enabled me to purchase a $1,600 refrigerator/freezer with an ice and water dispenser for less than $1,000. The refrigerator was delivered yesterday. It was only about 1/4" wider than the old one - just large enough where it would not fit through the door, even with the hinges and door removed from the opening. As the two delivery men loaded up the old refrigerator, I assessed the situation and, fearing he may have underestimate that quarter, realized I would have to remove the casings and door frame to get the refrigerator to go in there. Alone, I cut nails and removed pieces of wood to get the opening I needed. Within a short time (I had the right tools so it was easy), the refrigerator was moved into the storage room, the gentleman left and I put in the door frame and rehung the door. A couple of hours later, the new refrigerator, at an appropriate temperature, was loaded with an assortment of beverages. Later, as I was wrapping up my day, I visited that spot where my new refrigerator stood and looked at the door I had to remove and replace and the tools I used to get the job done. Thirsty, I reached into the refrigerator and grabbed an Orange flavored soda water. I opened the can, took a long gulp and, looking at the basement door, said to myself, "the effort was worth the cold."


    But I digress...

    I started to leave for Home Depot, a Big Box Store recognizable by it's familiar orange and Brown, but I turned around. The time wasn't right;
    there was something to finish before I could go to HD.Back in my home office, without power, I had to resort to my mobile hotspot and log on to my cellular network to complete a task for work.

    It took about 90 minutes to get to the point where I could now go to HD. I got in my car (at 2.06 miles, it was just too far to walk) and travelled down a road, "X" "X" Creek, to get to my destination. When I arrived, I parked on the southern side of the building, disembarked my vehicle and walked into the store. I stood by the grills, gazing at my phone, lost in thought as I contemplated my purpose and, at that moment, I heard a voice...that of an old friend, Rich. Rich is an electrician. He was with his 16 year-old son, Richie. Yes, I came across Riches new and old.

    But there is more.

    We chatted briefly before we parted ways. And then it occurred to me - my purpose for being at HOD at that moment. A generator. I would look for a generator for my home so I would not have to rely on others -the utility company- to provide what my family needed. I used Google to research online for a bit, then I walked to an area of the store where I thought I would find what I was looking for. It wasn't there. I looked around a little more, certain it was there, but no such luck. I started to walk in one direction but suddenly turned and saw, about 20 feet away, a man who looked like he could help me. I could see from what he was doing that he belonged there so I walked over to him.

    As I approached, I said, "Hi. I wonder if you could help me."

    Pointing down to the floor, motioning with his hand for me to stop, he responded, first with a one word warning, then a greeting: "Water. Hi."

    I thanked him as I looked at the trickle of water and asked if he could point me to the generators. Pointing overhead to the rack above us, he said, "I just loaded a few up there. Heavy loads."

    At that point, I was struck by all that I just described and, remembering my story of Hunter the other day, I said to myself, could this be a more clear sign?

    Then, at that moment, I looked at the helpful man's apron and saw, printed in the black ink of a Sharpie, his name. His name was Forrest.

    As someone once said, "You can't make this stuff up."

    Peace,

    Orion the Hunter
    Orion, you r killin me over hear, ME ALL CRACKED UP!!!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by A Leach View Post

      Orion, you r killin me over hear, ME ALL CRACKED UP!!!!!
      Yes...you could have knocked me over with Massasoit's feather as I stood before Forrest in that Home Depot.

      https://dalneitzel.com/2019/10/12/sc...undred-twelve/

      Peace,

      O.

      Comment


      • #4
        Truth is best arrived at via concensus. Just hang with the right folks and it’ll all be good.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by ORION View Post
          Just the other day I posted about my Hunter experience as a reach for confirmation bias as everyday, unrelated events somehow lead us to believe we are on the right trail in the Chase.

          Here is that story:
          So, I think we've all had moments when we've tied something outside the Chase to our Solve or position as Lead Searcher or Hunter. No matter how ridiculous or happenstance the moment, we define it as proof that we are on the right trail.

          Today, I may have had my biggest reach.

          With the kids out of school for the summer, I took today off to take my wife and kids to play at Top Golf where today is Half-Price Tuesday. https://topgolf.com/us/

          It was the first time I swung a golf club comfortably since my car accident 8 years ago...but I digress.

          In a quiet moment as we were getting settled in before the start of our first round, I was contemplating my next BOTG, coming up in about 10 days. My train of thought was broken when the waitress approached me, looked me in the eye, smiled and said, "Hunter."

          My expression showed I was clearly taken aback by her one word greeting, so she stated, "My name is Hunter, I'll be serving you today."

          Could there be any more clear a sign?

          Peace,

          Orion the Hunter




          >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

          I ended that story, with a question: "Could there be any more clear a sign?"

          Tonight, that more clear sign may have appeared. Here is my latest biggest reach for Confirmation Bias.
          Let me preface this story by telling you that it wasn't supposed to happen. For the past 9 months our utility company has been in the area removing the old infrastructure and replacing it with the newest hardware on the grid. They also installed all new underground lines. As they wrapped up the project a couple of weeks ago, the Project Manager told me we shouldn't have any more power outages for a long time. Mother Nature obviously heard these words and said, "Hold my Dr. Pepper."


          Tonight, at 6:45, we lost power when a massive bolt of lighting lit up the sky, followed instantaneously by a roar of thunder. At that moment, power was lost. I looked quickly down at my phone and started dialing a number I knew all too well: 1 800 POWER ON. The automated voice confirmed the outage and provided the estimated time for return of power to be 11:15 PM. That meant I had about four and a half hours before I'd see light again.

          I put on my sandals and walked outside, in the rain, to check on the house and yard to see if there was any damage. Seeing none, I walked back inside. My wife had to take care of a neighbor's dog so she was walking out the door and the kids were chatting with friends. I told my wife I would probably go to Home Depot to look for some tools I might need to finish the screened porch we're building.

          Mind you, I could have gone to Lowe's, as they are across the street from each other just 2.06 miles from my home and I did just buy a new refrigerator last week at Lowe's after our basement refrigerator died, completing it's own story after 15 years. Fortunately, Independence Day sales last week enabled me to purchase a $1,600 refrigerator/freezer with an ice and water dispenser for less than $1,000. The refrigerator was delivered yesterday. It was only about 1/4" wider than the old one - just large enough where it would not fit through the door, even with the hinges and door removed from the opening. As the two delivery men loaded up the old refrigerator, I assessed the situation and, fearing he may have underestimate that quarter, realized I would have to remove the casings and door frame to get the refrigerator to go in there. Alone, I cut nails and removed pieces of wood to get the opening I needed. Within a short time (I had the right tools so it was easy), the refrigerator was moved into the storage room, the gentleman left and I put in the door frame and rehung the door. A couple of hours later, the new refrigerator, at an appropriate temperature, was loaded with an assortment of beverages. Later, as I was wrapping up my day, I visited that spot where my new refrigerator stood and looked at the door I had to remove and replace and the tools I used to get the job done. Thirsty, I reached into the refrigerator and grabbed an Orange flavored soda water. I opened the can, took a long gulp and, looking at the basement door, said to myself, "the effort was worth the cold."


          But I digress...

          I started to leave for Home Depot, a Big Box Store recognizable by it's familiar orange and Brown, but I turned around. The time wasn't right;
          there was something to finish before I could go to HD.Back in my home office, without power, I had to resort to my mobile hotspot and log on to my cellular network to complete a task for work.

          It took about 90 minutes to get to the point where I could now go to HD. I got in my car (at 2.06 miles, it was just too far to walk) and travelled down a road, "X" "X" Creek, to get to my destination. When I arrived, I parked on the southern side of the building, disembarked my vehicle and walked into the store. I stood by the grills, gazing at my phone, lost in thought as I contemplated my purpose and, at that moment, I heard a voice...that of an old friend, Rich. Rich is an electrician. He was with his 16 year-old son, Richie. Yes, I came across Riches new and old.

          But there is more.

          We chatted briefly before we parted ways. And then it occurred to me - my purpose for being at HOD at that moment. A generator. I would look for a generator for my home so I would not have to rely on others -the utility company- to provide what my family needed. I used Google to research online for a bit, then I walked to an area of the store where I thought I would find what I was looking for. It wasn't there. I looked around a little more, certain it was there, but no such luck. I started to walk in one direction but suddenly turned and saw, about 20 feet away, a man who looked like he could help me. I could see from what he was doing that he belonged there so I walked over to him.

          As I approached, I said, "Hi. I wonder if you could help me."

          Pointing down to the floor, motioning with his hand for me to stop, he responded, first with a one word warning, then a greeting: "Water. Hi."

          I thanked him as I looked at the trickle of water and asked if he could point me to the generators. Pointing overhead to the rack above us, he said, "I just loaded a few up there. Heavy loads."

          At that point, I was struck by all that I just described and, remembering my story of Hunter the other day, I said to myself, could this be a more clear sign?

          Then, at that moment, I looked at the helpful man's apron and saw, printed in the black ink of a Sharpie, his name. His name was Forrest.

          As someone once said, "You can't make this stuff up."

          Peace,

          Orion the Hunter
          Somebody can. Thanks. I enjoyed it.

          Comment


          • #6
            When you go on site and everywhere and every one, has ,or is a message. Then there's deja vu too, and now we have mandela effect, and dreamtime. Exciting times. Life is real, this isn't a game. This is a holy place, and we are all holy beings. It's ignored and forgotten, these are dark ages.

            Comment


            • #7
              Funny!
              Questing song:
              THE POLICE "SECRET JOURNEY"
              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XkMyFMZXHmk

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by khan View Post
                When you go on site and everywhere and every one, has ,or is a message. Then there's deja vu too, and now we have mandela effect, and dreamtime. Exciting times. Life is real, this isn't a game. This is a holy place, and we are all holy beings. It's ignored and forgotten, these are dark ages.
                The first time I read Viking Portable's Carl Jung comp, there were TWO chapters I omitted to read. One was "Mandala" (sounded way to woowoo). The other was Dream Interpretation (I called bullshit). Well, I fell in love with pretty much everything else. That man, Jung, reaches up his own rear end, and pulls out raw TRUTH, no shit. "Science" is usually this inductive thing, where decade upon decade, one man passes the baton to the next frontiersman, and we climb one rung at a time. Then there's the science of the mind and spirit: Psychology or Philosophy of Mind (and I'd add soul as well). The hole system CREEPS along for eons, and then ONE MAN steps forward, reaches way down inside himself, and pulls truth out like a rabbit from a hat. That's Jung.

                In 2011 my mom called me up and let me know that Jung's "Mandala" exhibit had left Switzerland for the first time EVER, and where did it come? To a little private university 3 miles from my home. So I went. Few folks were there. This ish ain't so popular. I hadn't read the chapter, so I didn't know what I was even getting into. I think I stayed there 6 hours. It blew me away. What looked like bird poop form the outside, once I got down into it, was the real deal Holyfield. Same with his Dream Analysis. I've read Freud's "Interpretation..." and Jung's work (a few hundred pages of it anyway), and CGJ just blows it out. You want something raw and real, look up the story of Jung and the Golden Scarab. Then read Poe's short story. Then look at the dates on the two. What the F is going on on this weird rock we inhabit for a blip? Somethin. I'll tell you that much. I don't know what it is, but sometimes I feel it.

                And just for the record, I have less of an idea where Finn's TC is than I ever did. I'm 100% LOST. I was plannin' on hand-deliverin the thing this comin week. Well, that fell flat as a pancake, and winter is closin in on us all. Makes me sad in a way, if I let it. But the clocks always tickin. And where there's a tickin clock, there's hope. Insert some clever line about Pandora's box HERE. -Leach

                Comment


                • #9
                  I’ve read Jung. Nah. He’s too focused on making a story and the eventual point fit neatly into his camp. Eclectic is better. As for your existental questions, try V Frankel and after that Rollo May.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Leach, Winter out West used to be like BAH, I can muscle through it and go kick around. Now, it snows over peoples' heads out there.
                    How Winter AND Summer are worse, I'll never know.
                    Questing song:
                    THE POLICE "SECRET JOURNEY"
                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XkMyFMZXHmk

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Seabiscuit View Post
                      I’ve read Jung. Nah. He’s too focused on making a story and the eventual point fit neatly into his camp. Eclectic is better. As for your existental questions, try V Frankel and after that Rollo May.
                      I've searched for Man's search for meaning everywhere. Never herd of Rollo. Like his candies tho,

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Frankel also knows why the caged bird sings.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Seabiscuit View Post
                          Frankel also knows why the caged bird sings.
                          Touche'

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            there was guy on reddit recently, he removed it, he ask f for a confirm cuz he didn't want to spend a grand on a trip. He ask for anything, even an emoji, next day jami emoji post. I remember how out of place that one felt. 212 came too fast, feels pre-fab, i do like how goldilocks wrecks everything and gets away scott free!

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              It’s obvious Fenn is speaking to someone somewhere.
                              Why not roll the dice and assume it’s you!
                              What do you have to lose?
                              Might as well walk with confidence because one of us is actually a winner and Fenn knows who it is.

                              Comment

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